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Current S&P 500 Trends
Long-Term Since 12/29/2015


DJI30 CFI: -0.65    Previous: 0.75
as of Thursday, December 31, 2015
Dow30 CFI (Capital Flow Index)
cxalgo Theories & Models
Click On Charts For More Information
*** Selected Models — 9th Degree
Model: U.S.A. Economy
Current Phase: Stabilization  
Start: 2017  - End: 2019
Model: Eurozone Economy
Current Phase: Stabilization  
Start: 2017  - End: 2019
Model: Major Global Conflict
Current Phase: Expansion  
Start: 2016  - End: 2019
Model: China's Communist Control
Current Phase: Expansion  
Start: 2016  - End: 2019
China's Communist Collapse: 2021
cxalgo Economic Charts

After dodging market distortions and clueless Federal Reserve members for five enlightening and rewarding years, it's time to move on and pursue other interests simply because life is too short.
Our last day of operation is December 31, 2015.
cxalgo BroadView

European Farce Endures And Fed’s Not Confident?!

Tuesday, March 03, 2015

It has become increasingly more difficult to find something exciting to write about, and, in many cases, we resort ...

And Then There Was More Debt, Weaponized Oil And War Expansion

Saturday, January 17, 2015

After one month of market gyrations, has seasickness settled in yet? It used to be that a weak dollar, courtesy of ...

Sino Turbulence Shows A Failed State In Motion

Wednesday, December 17, 2014

There’s a tendency to forget or overlook that everything in China revolves around a communist dictatorship, and the ...

begin text  Investment strategies and advice come in many flavors, and fundamental analysis is often the main driver behind decisions for most investors. But the true value is often elusive, and methodologies used to discern whether any stock or index is undervalued or overvalued based on financial statements, have no relationship to prevailing market prices.

Prices are driven by emotions and perceptions, even when erroneous, and the resulting capital flow is the only factor that determines the price's rise and fall, irrespective of economic conditions, fundamental analysis, and the logic behind the capital flows. The aggregate perception is what truly matters, regardless of whether it makes sense!

Frankly, we haven't looked at a financial statement in detail in over a decade, and the truth is that we don't "invest" in companies: We trade stock certificates. After all, we're not, and do not pretend to be, fully informed board members or decision-making C-level executives of any company, and do not have real-time access to the "books."

cxalgo developed algorithms that seek short-term opportunities in any market condition, whether the objective is growth or income. We don't dwell on greed or fear, or subscribe to irrelevant "Bull" and "Bear" concepts, while continuously refining our methodologies.

We never chase the latest hype, and we're only in the market when the odds are in our favor, while maintaining a keen awareness of changes in capital flows and sentiment, while mindful that every trade is inherently risky, without exception. The prevailing myth is that one must be in the market all the time, as to ensure that no wave is ever missed.
Total Return
as of Thursday, December 31, 2015
* cxalgo's Nimble Growth
Traditional Buy Hold Reinvesting Strategy
S&P 500 (SPY)
Dow Jones Industrials (DIA)
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
Wilshire 5000 (VTI)
Russell 2000 (IWM)
For returns without reinvested dividends see Market Trends.

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Return on Investment Chart
** Full Capital Exposure: 67% of the Time
Average Daily Risk Exposure: 63% of Capital
Average Total Monthly Trades: 17
Trade Types: 57% Long - 43% Short
YearNimble GrowthS&P 500Difference
201568.10 %1.20 %66.90 %
201445.78 %13.53 %32.25 %
201348.21 %32.22 %15.99 %
201239.55 %16.01 %23.54 %
201171.51 %1.04 %70.47 %

Returns are real, not simulated or back tested. Statistics are calculated in real-time and include all trades. Performance net of trade commissions and cxalgo's fees is shown under Services. Please see footnotes for additional information.

But not all waves are created equal, and, more often than not, investors become unwilling speculators, much like speculators become accidental investors. We are extremely comfortable with being 100% in cash, and sometimes we just sit back and quietly observe, while never losing our sense of humor!

Our "Average Daily Risk Exposure" is a testament to our focus on risk management, while capitalizing on opportunity. Calculating Portfolio Alpha and Beta may be a fun exercise and a conversation starter, but it is irrelevant and only the tangible and measurable end result, or Return on Investment, truly matters.

Nimble reduces risk considerably because a percentage of capital remains Risk Free a portion of the time, unlike the traditional "buy-and-hold" investment approach with 100% of capital exposed to risk, year-round.

Our last 36 trades below are a sample of the complete story — the good, the bad and the ugly, not just the gorgeous! In the interest of full disclosure, Nimble is aggressive by traditional standards, and doesn't fit everyone's personality. It's opportunity trading, not day trading, and tactical patience is a great result-yielding vice! text end
SymbolNameTradeOpen DatePriceClose DatePriceP/LROI
TSLATesla MotorsLong12/28/2015$231.4912/31/2015$238.51$7.023.03 %
AMZNAmazon.comLong12/29/2015$677.9812/30/2015$691.89$13.912.05 %
CATCaterpillarLong12/28/2015$69.1212/30/2015$68.66($0.46)-0.67 %
NFLXNetflixLong12/28/2015$117.2612/30/2015$118.95$1.691.44 %
NKENikeLong12/22/2015$131.4812/23/2015$136.24$4.763.62 %
CATCaterpillarLong12/22/2015$66.2512/23/2015$69.59$3.345.04 %
AAPLApple Inc.Short12/17/2015$112.0212/22/2015$107.40$4.624.12 %
CVXChevron Corp.Short12/17/2015$93.5012/22/2015$89.12$4.384.68 %
WYNNWynn Resorts LimitedShort12/17/2015$69.1012/21/2015$63.51$5.598.09 %
VLOValero Energy Corp.Short12/11/2015$70.1312/15/2015$68.30$1.832.61 %
HONHoneywell International IShort12/11/2015$100.2712/15/2015$99.43$0.840.84 %
CVSCVS Corp.Short12/11/2015$94.2612/15/2015$94.97($0.71)-0.75 %
PRUPrudential Financial, IncShort12/11/2015$82.5812/15/2015$81.71$0.871.05 %
WYNNWynn Resorts LimitedLong12/9/2015$66.7612/10/2015$70.00$3.244.85 %
OXYOccidental Petroleum CorpShort12/7/2015$69.9412/9/2015$67.41$2.533.62 %
CATCaterpillarShort12/1/2015$72.3312/4/2015$69.45$2.883.98 %
UAUnder ArmourShort11/30/2015$87.5812/4/2015$84.50$3.083.52 %
VRXValeant Pharmaceuticals ILong11/25/2015$83.8911/27/2015$87.30$3.414.06 %
DLTRDollar TreeLong11/20/2015$67.5911/27/2015$75.10$7.5111.11 %
AAPLApple Inc.Long11/19/2015$117.6411/23/2015$119.40$1.761.50 %
BABoeing CompanyLong11/18/2015$146.2411/23/2015$149.39$3.152.15 %
CAHCardinal HealthLong11/18/2015$87.0111/23/2015$87.74$0.730.84 %
VRTXVertex Pharmaceuticals InLong11/16/2015$122.2811/17/2015$125.08$2.802.29 %
PXPraxairLong11/16/2015$113.4911/17/2015$116.02$2.532.23 %
UPSUnited Parcel ServiceShort11/12/2015$103.4911/16/2015$101.71$1.781.72 %
CVXChevron Corp.Short11/12/2015$90.7511/16/2015$87.79$2.963.26 %
HCAHCA Holdings, Inc.Short11/12/2015$67.4811/13/2015$65.16$2.323.44 %
CATCaterpillarShort11/12/2015$70.8211/13/2015$68.70$2.122.99 %
MSFTMicrosoft Corp.Long11/3/2015$52.9311/4/2015$54.18$1.252.36 %
CVXChevron Corp.Long11/2/2015$90.6111/4/2015$98.02$7.418.18 %
CATCaterpillarLong11/2/2015$73.0011/4/2015$75.34$2.343.21 %
JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co.Long10/30/2015$65.3011/4/2015$66.01$0.711.09 %
DEDeere & CompanyShort10/15/2015$76.4610/20/2015$75.89$0.570.75 %
UNHUnitedHealth Group Inc.Long10/5/2015$119.6710/6/2015$119.46($0.21)-0.18 %
UAUnder ArmourLong10/5/2015$101.3510/6/2015$101.49$0.140.14 %
FBFacebook IncLong10/5/2015$92.9410/6/2015$94.08$1.141.23 %

Important Note: Trades are shown in chronological order, and are not selected for their results. Results may vary dependent upon the round trip commission/capital ratio used. Stock prices reflect the next market open price after cxalgo's broadcast, and final price updates are processed by 6:00 p.m. PST. There is no guarantee that orders will be executed at the published market open price, and results may be higher or lower dependent on broker, order routing, and execution time. Round trip commission used in calculations is $20 for first 1,000 shares, and $0.02/share for 1,001+ shares.

* Total Return & Nimble Growth: Returns are based on a $100,000 portfolio and a higher capital level yields higher returns. Short-term capital gains tax is a liability that must be taken into account by using your marginal tax rate as published by the IRS. Interest rate charged on borrowed shares (short selling) is not included. Returns for Index funds (ETFs) are calculated based on a buy-and-hold dividend reinvesting strategy, with dividends reinvested every quarter on the payment date and using the ETF open price for that day. Trade commissions, fees and capital gains tax liability for ETFs are not included. Dividend data is provided by Nasdaq.

** Full Capital Exposure & Average Daily Risk Exposure: Nimble Portfolio is almost never fully invested and may hold 100% cash during some periods. Even though it would be positive, credit for interest earnings on cash and incidental dividends are not included.

*** Generational Economic Cycle (GEC): Sample cycles provided are only a subset of the complete collection and interact with a variety of other cycles across the globe. Precise dates and cycle/sub-cycle magnitudes are proprietary and undisclosed.

Necessary Simple Legalese: There is risk in life and investing is no different. This is not a solicitation to buy or sell any securities, and cxalgo ltd. and its agents are not liable for anything and/or to anybody as a result of advice/opinions dispensed. cxalgo ltd. is NOT a registered financial adviser. If unsure, you should seek advice from independent investment professionals, although we are virtually certain that some disclaimer regarding the lack of liability will apply to their services, such as past performance is not indicative of future results.

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